From Leonardo da Vinci’s predictions of the future with his infamous “Areal Screw” (Helicopter), to the future of our smart phones.
The development of technology and how we use it affects how journalist produce their content… Whatever the title – research development, business development – there’s a futurologist in most media companies.
Some predictions that went wrong:
Moore’s prediction from the 60’s; technology has followed Moore’s law – the processing “chip” power is improving. Moore’s law allows futuristic predictions.
Ray Kurzweil: Trend analysis
Other ideas from analysis: The Internet of Things; transmitting data
Ways of trends analysis: history
Another method: scenario planning
“Letting your imagination score, and then engineering it back down to earth”
Doug Engelbart: inventor of the mouse, first word processor first edition
What can we do that’s new?